Taken from The Proceedings of the XVIII ISPIM Conference, Warsaw, Poland - 17-20 June 2007 ISBN 978-952-214-388-4.

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http://www.ispim.org/members/proceedings/ISPIM2007/files/Fujii_Akihiro_Paper_1.doc

Multi-methodology Foresight Survey for Ubiquitous Pervasive Computing

Author(s)

Akihiro Fujii

Abstract

Foresight survey is not just for predictions of the future but it includes the knowledge creation process for the decision-making. In this paper, we discuss the development of the constructive multi-methodology foresight survey which is supported by the computer-aided visualization data. For the discussion about the feasibility of proposed setting, a realistic example is chosen. The National Institute of Science and Technology Policy in Japan (NISTEP) has just finished the recent foresight survey in order to contribute for so called “Innovation2025” national policy being formulated under the new prime minister. Under the theme of ubiquitous pervasive computing technology, the results from the previous foresight activities such as Delphi survey and the Scenario Buildings are utilized. The computer-aided visualization for combining the data and the opinions may become a strong supporting tool for the foresight activities.

Keywords

Science and Technology Policy; Foresight; Delphi; Scenario Planning; Multiple-methodology; Visualization; Network Analysis; Thesaurus Analysis.